Patrick Carroll
Dave Shober
Thomas Nicolay
Recession & Diversification
by Patrick Carroll, MSFS, CFP®
Investments uncorrelated or indirectly correlated
to the stock market – such as CDs, Treasuries and
annuities – are getting another look these days.
Here's a look at some of the options for investors.
Banking on the future. Under recessionary
conditions, short-term CDs, money market
accounts and Treasury notes sometimes appeal
to those who want to receive a competitive yield
versus stocks and bonds over six months or a
year with less risk. Treasuries are also free from
state income tax, and some Treasuries are TIPS
(Treasury Inflation Protected Securities), meaning
they are hedged against inflation. The comparative
certainty of all these investments appeals to
people seeking diversification.
Are we in
a major
recession,
a mild
recession
or just
a slump?
Whatever you
want to call it,
diversification
certainly
counts.
Bonding together. In this kind of economic
climate, some investors may also be attracted
to bonds and bond funds. Bonds, after all,
generally offer the investor a reliable payment
stream and repayment of principal. Besides
municipal and government bonds, there are
also corporate bonds, including fixed-rate capital
securities offering predictable monthly, quarterly
or semiannual income. Some investors like
short-term bond funds, which typically invest in
commercial paper, bills and certificates of deposit.
Often, bond funds generate monthly income, and
some allow check-writing so people can meet
emergency cash needs. Some exchange-traded
funds (ETFs) are bond ETFs, which tend to favor
investment in inflation-protected bonds.
A contractual choice. Annuities are another type
of investment with little or no correlation to the
stock market. Under these contracts, you make
payments to an insurance company, which in turn agrees to make payments to you, immediately
or in the near future. A fixed annuity offers
guaranteed income payments and a guaranteed
rate of return.* A variable annuity usually allows
you the choice of stock market participation
(usually via mutual fund investment) with possible
protection of your principal. An equity-indexed
annuity offers potential returns based on market
fluctuations and calculations tied to an equity
index. There is a possibility of loss of principal if
the index linked to the annuity declines, but it
usually has a minimum rate of return guaranteed
by the insurer.*
Is it time to diversify? You may want to learn
more about these investments, and others that
may help you modify your portfolio for a recession
or downturn. Before you make any investment
decision, be sure and talk with a qualified financial
professional. Keep in mind that diversification
does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.
For more information or to set a no-obligation
appointment to speak to one of our financial
planners, Patrick Carroll, Thomas Nicolay, or
David Shober, please call 301-990-4395. Consider
attending one or all of our upcoming seminars,
held at the MAFCU headquarters. Visit the News
& Events section of our web site for a complete listing
of upcoming seminars.
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